Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.439611 0.515837 0.599333 0.697311 0.808853 0.931593 1.076580
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.318347 0.418755 0.539560 0.694414 0.886321 1.114927 1.406294
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.232349 0.338345 0.476799 0.668187 0.922740 1.246176 1.684136
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.190602 0.302746 0.459736 0.690671 1.015861 1.450712 2.067966
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.158759 0.272891 0.442911 0.707103 1.097965 1.643897 2.450164
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.140926 0.259605 0.446185 0.749978 1.218474 1.896890 2.931903
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.117271 0.231864 0.422099 0.746594 1.267827 2.049511 3.279875
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.097211 0.205959 0.396243 0.735525 1.301785 2.179086 3.600186
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.081692 0.184973 0.374962 0.728091 1.338744 2.313465 3.934117
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.072012 0.173179 0.367820 0.743157 1.412693 2.509415 4.374342
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.063165 0.161237 0.358404 0.752412 1.476502 2.692116 4.803513
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.054853 0.148688 0.345796 0.753774 1.525654 2.852720 5.205180
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048392 0.139224 0.338422 0.765034 1.595045 3.054827 5.693035
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.041950 0.128417 0.326654 0.766234 1.645955 3.228768 6.144900
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034445 0.113096 0.302581 0.739197 1.640340 3.302159 6.427925
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031475 0.109111 0.303399 0.764299 1.737848 3.566492 7.059263
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028430 0.104186 0.301209 0.782445 1.822647 3.812330 7.670556
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027222 0.104398 0.311483 0.829310 1.969392 4.181824 8.523543
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.023676 0.096507 0.300226 0.825647 2.010639 4.353807 9.023780
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.020271 0.088098 0.286181 0.813580 2.032584 4.489274 9.462419
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017507 0.081025 0.274461 0.805471 2.061866 4.639908 9.935925
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.015927 0.077751 0.272770 0.821912 2.146537 4.905053 10.640255
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.014320 0.073901 0.268787 0.832010 2.217511 5.146214 11.309276